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The American Biology Teacher

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Biostatistics in the Popular Press
William D. Stansfield, Matthew A. Carlton
The American Biology Teacher, Vol. 76 No. 7, September 2014; (pp. 429-430) DOI: 10.1525/abt.2014.76.7.2
wstansfi@calpoly.edu
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mcarlton@calpoly.edu
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Marilyn vos Savant writes a weekly column called “Ask Marilyn” for Parade magazine. In her column of August 18, 2013, she proposed the following problem. Five cats are in a sack: two are tabbies and three are calicos. You let one cat out of the bag, but it runs up a tree before you get a chance to see its color. Then you purposely let out another cat and observe it to be a tabby. What is the probability that the cat in the tree is also a tabby? Marilyn’s answer is 1 chance in 4.

Many readers wrote to Marilyn, arguing that the correct answer should be 2 out of 5 and that observing the one tabby does …

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Vol. 76 No. 7, September 2014

The American Biology Teacher: 76 (7)
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Biostatistics in the Popular Press
William D. Stansfield, Matthew A. Carlton
The American Biology Teacher, Vol. 76 No. 7, September 2014; (pp. 429-430) DOI: 10.1525/abt.2014.76.7.2
wstansfi@calpoly.edu
  • For correspondence: wstansfi@calpoly.edu
mcarlton@calpoly.edu
  • For correspondence: mcarlton@calpoly.edu

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Biostatistics in the Popular Press
William D. Stansfield, Matthew A. Carlton
The American Biology Teacher, Vol. 76 No. 7, September 2014; (pp. 429-430) DOI: 10.1525/abt.2014.76.7.2
wstansfi@calpoly.edu
  • For correspondence: wstansfi@calpoly.edu
mcarlton@calpoly.edu
  • For correspondence: mcarlton@calpoly.edu
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